Access
2024: All plays in 2024 will be posted for free at the X handle @R51Sports
2025: Starting 1 Jan 2025, plays will be posted on the private X handle @R51Partners
Disclaimer: Red 51 Sports is an honest service striving to provide betting partners with a return on their bankroll utilizing historically profitable betting models. The business is not based on posting bogus records to entice ignorant bettors. The realities of profitable sports betting is much different than what you see on social media. It is a long term endeavor that takes discipline, persistence and is not suited for everyone. Please review expectations below prior to reaching out about partnering.
Game Selection & Delivery
Expectations are key to any relationship and it is important potential partners understand what to expect when it comes to the games I release. As I’ve referenced throughout the website, my models average around 250 bets per year across multiple sports. However, the vast majority of my plays are on college football and college basketball. A typical season will have around 50% of my bets on college football, 35% on college basketball and the remaining 15% distributed across the NFL and NBA. Therefore, the majority of my games will take place between September and March as I normally only have 10-20 plays from April through August.
Getting the right number is critical to long-term success in sports betting and timing can be everything, I’m often reading the market waiting for a game to go to a specific number before firing. I’ll communicate as best I can leading up to a game, but often you will only have minutes to lock in a bet at the best price.
Expectations
Before anyone considers partnering in 2025, it is important to understand the realities of what betting on sports for profit really looks like and that you are aligned on the expectations of what I offer.
If you have not already, I suggest you read my story on the About page for an understanding of how I got to this point and why I feel it is important to offer an honest service. Over the last 5 years, I have logged a win rate against the spread of 54.3% on well over 1000 bets. I average around 250 plays per year and risk 2.2% of my initial bankroll on each play, those results lead to an annual return on your allocated bankroll of approximately 20%.
While 20% per year on any investment sounds great, let me point out some of the realities of the journey:
A 54% winning percentage means you’ll lose 46% of the time! I had multiple 5 game losing streaks in 2023, and there will be more losing streaks to come much worse than that.
I started 2023, 13 - 20, before hitting at 58.3% over the next 156 bets, but it did take until the 15th of May for my bankroll to go positive for the year after that cold start.
Statistically speaking, a 54.3% winning percent over 250 bets per season will result in a losing season approximately 1 out of every 4 years.
Statistically speaking, a 54.3% winning percentage over 250 bets per season will also result in winning over 56% of my bets 1 out of every 4 years.
If any of these stats would lead you to give up on your money management system and send angry emails, then I’m not the guy for you and I reiterate the offer in my story to provide you with a bet tracker that you can use to log the handicappers out their touting a 65% win rate.
If you are looking for a transparent service that aims to provide a return on investment that exceeds the stock market while enjoying some action on games throughout the year, then I’d be happy to have you as a partner and look forward to many profitable years together.