Access
2024: All picks in 2024 will be released for free at the X handle @R51Sports.
2025: Starting 1 Jan 2025, picks will only be offered to clients in an annual subsciption package.
Disclaimer: Red 51 Sports is an honest handicapping service striving to provide clients with a return on their investment utilizing historically profitable betting models. The business is not based on posting bogus records to entice ignorant bettors. The realities of profitable sports betting is much different than what you see on social media. It is a long term endeavor that takes discipline, persistence and is not suited for everyone. Please review expectations below prior to subscribing.
Game Selection & Delivery
Expectations are key to any relationship and it is important potential clients understand what to expect when it comes to the games I release. As I’ve referenced throughout the website, my models average around 250 bets per year across multiple sports. However, the vast majority of my plays are on college football and college basketball. A typical season will have around 50% of my bets on college football, 35% on college basketball and the remaining 15% distributed across the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL. Therefore, the majority of my games will take place between September and March as I normally only have 20-30 plays from April through August.
Getting the right number is critical to long-term success in sports betting and timing can be everything, I’m often reading the market waiting for a game to go to a specific number before firing. In order to optimize clients’ chances of getting the best of it, I’ll utilize a texting service to deliver my plays as quickly as possible.
Expectations
Before anyone considers tailing my plays or ultimately subscribing in 2025, it is important to understand the realities of what betting on sports for profit really looks like and that you are aligned on the expectations of what I offer.
If you have not already, I suggest you read my story on the About page for an understanding of how I got to this point and why I feel it is important to offer an honest handicapping service. Over the last 5 years, I have logged a win rate against the spread of 54.3% on well over 1000 bets. I average around 250 plays per year and risk 2.2% of my initial bankroll on each play, those results lead to an annual return on your allocated bankroll of approximately 20%.
While 20% per year on any investment sounds great, let me point out some of the realities of the journey:
A 54% winning percentage means you’ll lose 46% of the time! I had multiple 5 game losing streaks in 2023, and there will be more losing streaks to come much worse than that.
I started 2023, 13 - 20, before hitting at 58.3% over the next 156 bets, but it did take until the 15th of May for my bankroll to go positive for the year after that cold start.
Statistically speaking, a 54.3% winning percent over 250 bets per season will result in a losing season approximately 1 out of every 4 years.
Statistically speaking, a 54.3% winning percentage over 250 bets per season will also result in winning over 56% of my bets 1 out of every 4 years.
If any of these stats would lead you to give up on your money management system, send angry emails, or demand a refund, then I’m not the guy for you and I reiterate the offer in my story to provide you with a bet tracker that you can use to log the handicappers out their touting a 65% win rate.
If you are looking for a transparent handicapping service that aims to provide a return on investment that exceeds the stock market while enjoying some action on games throughout the year, then I’d be happy to have you as a client and look forward to many profitable years together.